Re: MD Middle East

From: Wim Nusselder (wim.nusselder@antenna.nl)
Date: Tue Jun 11 2002 - 14:35:32 BST


Dear Lawrence,

You didn't get any reply yet to your posting of 18/5 13:28 -0400 (to Roger)
in which you 'listed the broad range of options on a solution to the I-P
conflict' inviting suggestions as to which of these would be considered by
the MoQ (as a 'moral system') to be most moral.
You list
1. forced exile for the Palestinians from their territories,
2. sovereignty for the Palestinians in West Bank, East Jerusalem and Gaza,
3. re-division of Palestine between an Israeli and a Palestinian state and
4. re-exiling of Israeli settlers en return from exile of Palestinian
refugees (forced by whom?)

I suggested 15/5 20:18 +0200 that the best solution (the best path) is that
which 'is most Dynamic AND ... best safeguards past improvements'.

With that criterion I would rank your options from better to worse as:
2, 3, 1, 4.
Options 1, 3 and 4 would breed so much resentment among those exiled and
their sympathizers, that hardly any improvement (democracy, peaceful living
together of different ethnic groups, economic links between neighboring
countries) would survive. I put option highest of these three, because it
would hold some promise for new improvements, for healthy dynamic, and would
need less (and more evenly spread) violence for its implementation than the
others. I put option 4 lowest, because it would cost the most in terms of
democracy, economy and openness to new ideas and because it would need most
violence.

Your second options seems obviously best from those you mention. You don't
mention all options though.
I would add:
5. Israel establishes itself in the territories they currently possess plus
the West Bank and Gaza, but doesn't exile the Palestinians. In this enlarged
Israel Palestinians are offered all civil rights Israelis have too.
Terrorism would be dealt with by a police force in which the Palestinian
police forces are integrated. Fatah and other Palestinian parties would go
on as political parties under Israeli law.
6. Israel and the Palestinian Authority negotiate a phased dissolution of
Israel and simultaneous creation of a new Jewish/Palestinian state.
7. Both Israel and the present not-yet-fully-sovereign Palestinian
territories are integrated in supra-national organizations like the European
Union and NATO together with Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon and Syria either
exclusively on a regional basis or as regional associations with special
relations with EU and/or NATO or as full members of EU and/or NATO. This may
take the edge off the issues of borders and sovereignty long enough to await
the time when these supra-national organizations as a whole can move toward
political unification.

The best solution is probably one that combines elements of 5, 6 and 7.

With friendly greetings,

Wim

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