MD Rise and fall of empires

From: Lawrence DeBivort (debivort@umd5.umd.edu)
Date: Mon Nov 18 2002 - 17:59:21 GMT

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    A few days ago, Platt asked a question that prompted me to write the
    following. But it hasn't been posted yet, so I send it again, but don't
    still have Platt's material to include. Apologies. I also changed the
    subject line.

    Lawry

    --------------------

    I think that it is one of those 'why do empires rise and fall' type
    questions. For a long period of European and Middle Eastern history, Muslim
    entities were indeed preeminent politically, administratively
    intellectually, technologically and scientifically. Now, these same areas
    are, in the views of their own populations, struggling to survive against a
    resurgent and essentially Christian West. Several observers have asked this
    same question, and we are still in the process of figuring out the answer.

    My thought, centrally, is this: that within the strengths that create empire
    and preeminence, often lie the seeds of eventual weakness and failure. To
    simplify: those who build and run empires come to believe their own
    propaganda: they come to believe that they are intrinsically superior to all
    others, and that their preeminence is theirs by right. They develop an
    overweening arrogance and growing ignorance, ignorance based on their
    assumption that they have nothing left to learn. Their power, they believe,
    will be sufficient to keep them in power. In the meantime, those that the
    empire dominates fret. It may take them centuries, but they eventually
    figure out some way of developing their capabilities to achieve some redress
    in the balance of power, and if they do so successfully enough, they can
    even overtake the empire and achieve even greater power. The rise of the
    former underdogs is, it seems, often abetted by the growth of self-seeking
    by individuals in the empire who are in positions of responsibility and
    power.

    So some of those who were weak, driven by resentment of their subjugation,
    find through hard work and some luck ways to become strong. Those who are
    strong, complacent in their strength, find through their intellectual
    laziness and inability to adjust effectively to a world in which change is
    continuous, ways to lose that strength.

    Yesterday, the Muslims created those empires. Today, it is America.

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