Re: MD On Faith - Improbability ?

From: Jim Ledbury (jim.ledbury@dsl.pipex.com)
Date: Sun Oct 17 2004 - 15:01:30 BST

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    Hi Scott, Mark at al.

    Scott Roberts wrote:

    <snip>

    >[Scott:] True, as far as we can tell, there is only chance and design. But
    >there are many ways they can be combined. Is there one Designer or a lot of
    >designers (and is there any distinction between design and designer at this
    >non-human level). Is the design on the making-an-event side, or on the
    >selection side (e.g., culling bad stuff). Is design perfect or imperfect,
    >that is, does the designer/designers get it right the first time, or is
    >trial and error involved. So there is plenty of room for "biological false
    >starts, goofy non-viable mutations, and dead ends" without assuming only
    >chance is involved.
    >
    >

    jl:
    I'd say that the 'design factor' in this is whatever it is that cells do
    to utilise the bits of the genome that they do. A lot of this is
    preprogrammed: there has to be a set of 'written' instructions so that
    billions of cells get to form the various organs that compose an
    animal. This is obviously not chance. The accidental part is where the
    instructions get a bit scrambled and the cells have to go along with the
    new program. The evolution bit is if the new instructions allow the
    cells an advantage. But a lot of evolution is acting on already evolved
    characteristics and amplifying them. This is especially so in terms of
    sexual selection - but the precise patterns picked up on in this may
    have a genetically coded presidposition, or they may exist as a set of
    criteria which exist only because the genetic code provides a tabula
    rasa for such things as culture, fashion to act on... In this sense
    there is again design through choice.

    >[msh:]
    >But also, chance and design are the only ways we know of. Who is to say
    >there isn't something that is not properly either. For example, evolution
    >by Quality (for those who deny that Quality and Intellect are two names for
    >the same thing).
    >
    >
    >
    >[scott:]
    >
    >On GR, it is being tested, so it is testable, no?
    >
    >

    jl:
    The point was that GR was largely accepted because it was elegant,
    rather than because all (or even many) of its predictions or basic
    tenets were tested. Similarly 'random mutations actued on by natural
    selection' is a reasonable hypothesis given what we know about the
    interplay of genetic programs with ontogenesis. I wouldn't say that the
    theory of random mutation is inherently untestable, just that it is very
    hard to test. We know that random mutations exist, although most of
    them are detrimental. The existence of a 'cellular conscious' changing
    of a genetic programming would have to be demonstrated. I'd agree that
    there is a lot of dogmatic rejection of this possibility, but I'd also
    say that there isn't really any need for it to explain the evolution and
    adoption of new characteristics.

    <snip>

    >Yes, science can deal with randomness as long as there are patterns of it.
    >But then you seem to be saying that science must assume evolution cannot
    >happen through design because if it is, then science can't deal with it.
    >That's to-a-hammer-everything-looks-like-a-nail thinking.
    >
    >

    jl:
    I've said elsewhere that there are different types of 'randomness' that
    we are dealing with. Genetic mutations are random in the sense that
    asteroids hitting the earth are random. There can easily be
    deterministic factors causing them, just they occur with no regard to
    the benefit of the genetic program or ecosystem hence can reasonably be
    termed arbitrary and haphazard. The level of choice happens inspite of
    these random events (or not if you are a dinosaur) - occasionally they
    are serendipitous and can be incorporated into an improved pattern.
    Quantum mechanical randomness is a scientific a priori because we have
    no way of predicting what path an electron will follow etc. Whether or
    not it is actually random is a moot point. Given that my ability to
    choose what to type and the chain of physical manipulation from my brain
    to typing the keys, I'd say that there is inherently some form of
    'choice' acting at the QM random level (pace, believers of many-worlds
    hypothesis), but not at the level of genetic mutation. The choice at
    the biological level acts on what bits of the genetic code to express,
    or in selection of what looks like a good strategy as evinced by its
    superficial characteristics but that there is no design other than the
    sense of quality according to pre-existing patterns.

    The way genetic patterns improve is largely serendipitous. When a new
    characteristic appears it is adapted by the needs of the individuals of
    the species in question in the circumstances in question. Thus a swim
    bladder becomes a lung. If you like analogies, the history of the
    Ameican constitution is one. The sense of freedom that the founders
    latched onto was the freedom of white North American property owners
    from British interference. That it should become regarded as
    underpinning democracy and liberty and justice for all was something
    many of the founders would have rejected.

    Regards,
    Jim

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